Do You Suffer From The Lake Wobegon Effect?

Have you ever believed that you are better than your friends/peers or even your manager?

Vinay Kumar Thum
2 min readJul 11, 2022

The answer is we usually overestimate our abilities. It’s just not you but most of us believe that we are better than others. For some of us, this may be true, but very few would acknowledge if they are below average. This tendency to overestimate one’s abilities, especially in comparison to others is called the Lake Wobegon Effect which is often called the Lake Wobegon Fallacy.

Public Domain, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5673737

Where did it come from?

Lake Wobegon is a fictitious place made up in an old radio series ‘A Prairie Home Companion’ hosted by Garrison Keller. This host describes the people in the town as “All the women are strong, all the men are good-looking, and all the children are above average”.

As per Wikipedia, this is also known as Illusory Superiority. This simply means humans tend to overestimate their strengths and underestimate their weaknesses as compared to others.

Many experiments and surveys have repeatedly shown that most people believe they possess talent or skills that are better than most people.

If you look at how people rate themselves on their performance reviews, chances are you will see none as below-average performers.

What can you do to avoid it?

Most of us fall for this bias. However, we can avoid this bias by:
1. Acknowledging our limitations.
2. Get other people’s honest opinions of your abilities.

Everyone has strengths and opportunities for improvement. But no one is above-average at everything.

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Vinay Kumar Thum

A Software Engineer who loves to write more than just coding | I read, write, and repeat about Books, Self-Improvement, Life, Motivation, and other stories.